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Newport West and Islwyn

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Ruth Jones
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up PC	Vote shares: PC: 31%; Ref: 31%; Green: 14%
More in Common April 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 13%; Green: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 14%; PC: 14%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 29%; Ref: 27%; PC: 16%; Cons: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 20%; PC: 15%; Cons: 11%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 31%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 12%; LD: 12%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 12%; LD: 11%; PC: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 26%; Cons: 15%; PC: 14%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 25%; PC: 14%; Cons: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 25%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 22%; PC: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29%; Lab: 27%; Cons: 22%; PC: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 23%; Cons: 17%; PC: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 14%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 8868 (21.13%)

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Ruth Jones	Labour Party	17409	41.5%
Paul Taylor	Reform UK	8541	20.4%
Nick Jones	Conservative and Unionist Party	6710	16.0%
Brandon Ham	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3529	8.4%
Mike Hamilton	Liberal Democrats	2087	5.0%
Kerry Ann Vosper	Green Party	2078	5.0%
George Etheridge	Independent	1597	3.8%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 2001 (4.12%)
Turnout: 63.7%