Some of the data on this instance of the site is present for testing purposes. This includes fictional 2029 results. If you only want to see real results, please go to the production site.

Swansea West

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Torsten Bell
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; PC: 18.0%; Lab: 17.0%; Green: 12.0%; Cons: 11.0%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28.0%; Lab: 21.0%; PC: 21.0%; Green: 11.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30.0%; Lab: 19.0%; PC: 15.0%; Cons: 10.0%; Green: 10.0%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 23.0%; PC: 17.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 40.0%; Lab: 23.0%; Green: 11.0%
More in Common July 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 29.0%; PC: 21.0%; Lab: 20.0%; LD: 12.0%; Cons: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35.0%; Lab: 24.0%; PC: 13.0%; LD: 10.0%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 15.0%; LD: 12.0%; Green: 10.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Lab: 23.0%; Ref: 23.0%; Cons: 17.0%; PC: 14.0%; Green: 10.0%; LD: 10.0%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 24.0%; Lab: 21.0%; PC: 18.0%; Cons: 16.0%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27.0%; Lab: 26.0%; PC: 18.0%; Cons: 12.0%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Lean Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31.0%; Ref: 23.0%; PC: 15.0%; LD: 13.0%; Cons: 10.0%
More in Common Dec 2024	Toss-up Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 39.2%; Cons: 30.0%; Ref: 30.0%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 8515 (23.88%)
Turnout: 48.03%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Torsten Bell	Labour Party	14761	41.4%
Patrick Benham-Crosswell	Reform UK	6246	17.5%
Mike O'Carroll	Liberal Democrats	4367	12.2%
Gwyn Williams	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	4105	11.5%
Tara-Jane Sutcliffe	Conservative and Unionist Party	3536	9.9%
Peter Jones	Green Party	2305	6.5%
Gareth Bromhall	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	337	0.9%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the about page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 10037 (22.70%)
Turnout: 59.2%