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Torfaen

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Nick Thomas-Symonds
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
They Work For You

2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; PC: 31%; Green: 13%
More in Common April 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 18%; Cons: 15%; Green: 13%; PC: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 39%; Lab: 17%; Cons: 14%; PC: 13%
More in Common January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 26%; PC: 15%; Cons: 13%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 37%; Lab: 19%; PC: 15%; Cons: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 34%; Lab: 22%; PC: 14%; Cons: 10%
More in Common September 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 12%; Other: 11%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 36%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 12%; PC: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 15%; PC: 13%
YouGov June 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 35%; Lab: 27%; Cons: 11%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Cons: 23%; Lab: 23%; PC: 11%
More in Common April 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 22%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Lab: 22%; Cons: 17%; Other: 10%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 32%; Ref: 28%; Cons: 14%; LD: 10%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 100%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 7322 (20.50%)
Turnout: 49.77%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Nick Thomas-Symonds	Labour Party	15176	42.5%
Ian Michael Williams	Reform UK	7854	22.0%
Nathan Edmunds	Conservative and Unionist Party	5737	16.1%
Matthew Jones	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	2571	7.2%
Philip Davies	Green Party	1705	4.8%
Brendan Roberts	Liberal Democrats	1644	4.6%
Lee Dunning	Independent	881	2.5%
Nikki Brooke	Heritage Party	137	0.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4110 (9.43%)
Turnout: 61.7%