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Vale of Glamorgan

Official Parliament web page

Current MP

Name: Kanishka Narayan
Party: Labour
Official Parliament web page
Who Can I Vote For?
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2029 election

No candidates have been declared for 2029 yet.

Projections

Projection	Projected result	Description
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 23%; Cons: 19%; PC: 18%; Green: 14%; Lab: 12%; LD: 10%
More in Common April 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 27%; Cons: 25%; Lab: 17%; Green: 14%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR January 2026	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Cons: 26%; Ref: 26%; Lab: 19%; PC: 11%
More in Common January 2026	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 19%; Cons: 18%; PC: 18%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR October 2025	Lean Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 32%; Lab: 21%; Cons: 17%; PC: 10%
YouGov September 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 24%; Cons: 18%; PC: 11%
More in Common September 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 38%; Cons: 19%; Lab: 18%
More in Common July 2025	Likely Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 43%; Lab: 23%; PC: 11%; LD: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 30%; Lab: 29%; Cons: 21%
YouGov June 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 28%; Lab: 25%; Cons: 20%; PC: 10%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR April 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 31%; Ref: 25%; Lab: 22%
More in Common April 2025	Toss-up Ref	Vote shares: Ref: 33%; Cons: 26%; Lab: 24%
ElectoralCalculus/PLMR Feb 2025	Toss-up Cons	Vote shares: Cons: 27%; Lab: 26%; Ref: 25%
Focaldata Jan 2025	Toss-up Lab	Vote shares: Lab: 31%; Cons: 27%; Ref: 21%
More in Common Dec 2024	Safe Lab	Victory chances: Lab: 97%

2024 results

Winning party: Labour
Majority: 4216 (9.20%)
Turnout: 61.62%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Kanishka Narayan	Labour Party	17740	38.7%
Alun Cairns	Conservative and Unionist Party	13524	29.5%
Toby Rhodes-Matthews	Reform UK	6973	15.2%
Ian James Johnson	Plaid Cymru - The Party of Wales	3245	7.1%
Lynden Mack	Green Party	1881	4.1%
Steven Rohan Michael Rajam	Liberal Democrats	1612	3.5%
Stuart Field	Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party	669	1.5%
Steven Sluman	Independent	182	0.4%

More details on "Who Can I Vote For?"

2019 notional results

(See the About page for more information about the nature of these results.)

Winning party: Conservative
Majority: 2566 (5.13%)
Turnout: 71%